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Explained: Can Sri Lanka Still Make the Final? Super 4 Qualification Scenario
Sri Lanka’s chances of keeping their T20 Asia Cup title took a big hit on Tuesday (September 19) after they lost to Pakistan in their second Super Four match at the Sheikh Zayed Stadium.
Led by Charith Asalanka, the team has now suffered back-to-back defeats in this stage, with their earlier loss coming against Bangladesh. The 2022 champions are now on the brink of an exit in the tournament and have lost both their games. They are in fourth place on the table with zero points, with the Net Run Rate (NRR) also in the negative, with just one match remaining against India on Friday.
Asia Cup 2025 Points Table
| Team | P | W | L | NR | CupR | NRR | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.24 | +0.689 | 2 |
| Pakistan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +0.226 | 2 |
| Bangladesh | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | +0.121 | 2 |
| Sri Lanka | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 70 | -0.590 | 0 |
Sri Lanka’s Qualification Scenario
| Condition | Requirement |
|---|---|
| Bangladesh vs India | Bangladesh must win |
| Bangladesh vs Pakistan | Bangladesh must win |
| Sri Lanka vs India | Sri Lanka must win |
| Resulting Situation | Three-way tie (India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka) on equal points |
| Qualification Decider | Net Run Rate (NRR) will decide the finalist |
Pakistan Hold Nerve After Early Scare Against Sri Lanka
In the match, Pakistan won the toss and decided to bowl first. Their choice worked well, as Sri Lanka could only score 133 runs, even though Kamindu Mendis fought hard with a half-century. Wanindu Hasaranga and Maheesh Theekshana took two wickets each and had Pakistan struggling at 80 for 5, but Sri Lanka, the 2014 champions, couldn’t make the most of that advantage.
Asia Cup 2025: Team Chances
| Team | Finals Chances | Title Chances |
|---|---|---|
| India | 91.9% | 69.7% |
| Pakistan | 56.2% | 16.6% |
| Bangladesh | 50.5% | 13.0% |
| Sri Lanka | 1.3% | 0.7% |
ALSO SEE: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Asia Cup 2025: Pakistan Win by 5 Wickets in Super Four Clash
LastModified Date: 2025-09-24 18:28:12
Dwijesh
A dedicated cricket content writer with a proven track record at The Cricket Winner, I deliver sharp, reliable coverage of match-day news, previews, and in-depth analysis. My expertise extends to Dream11/fantasy‑cricket content, offering data-driven player stats, insightful tips, and strategy-focused predictions that resonate with fans and fantasy players alike. Combining a keen eye for detail with editorial rigor, I’m committed to producing engaging, high‑accuracy content that builds trust and readership.
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