Day 3: Rain - New Zealand A trail by 83 runs

357/10 (89.5)

New Zealand A

274/4 (89)

Day 2: 1st Session - Zimbabwe opt to bowl

England

531/4 (93)

Zimbabwe

Day 1: 1st Session - Durham opt to bat

Durham

16/1 (6)

Somerset

Day 1: 1st Session - Surrey opt to bowl

Essex

39/0 (6.4)

Surrey

Day 1: 1st Session - Hampshire opt to bat

Hampshire

19/1 (6)

Sussex

Day 1: 1st Session - Middlesex opt to bowl

Glamorgan

15/0 (5)

Middlesex

Day 1: 1st Session - Derbyshire opt to bat

Derbyshire

38/0 (7)

Kent

Day 1: 1st Session - Yorkshire opt to bowl

Nottinghamshire

12/1 (8)

Yorkshire

Day 1: 1st Session - Northamptonshire opt to bat

Gloucestershire

Northamptonshire

14/1 (7)

Day 1: 1st Session - Warwickshire opt to bat

Warwickshire

18/1 (8)

Worcestershire

Day 1: 1st Session - Leicestershire opt to bowl

31/0 (8)

May 23, 2025 6:35 pm

May 26, 2025 2:30 pm

May 29, 2025 1:00 pm

ALL

IPL 2025 Playoff Qualification Scenarios Explained: Team-by-Team Breakdown

by William Campbell May 6, 2025

6413

IPL 2025 Playoff Qualification Scenarios Explained: Team-by-Team Breakdown With the IPL season winding down, the playoff race is really heating up. When the SRH vs DC game was called off due to a wet outfield, Sunrisers Hyderabad became the third team after Rajasthan Royals and Chennai Super Kings to be knocked out. That leaves seven teams still fighting for those four spots. Royal Challengers Bengaluru look the most comfortable right now, but Punjab Kings, Gujarat Titans, Mumbai Indians, and Delhi Capitals are all locked in a tough battle to stay in contention.

IPL 2025 Playoff Qualification Scenarios: Roadmap for the Final 4

RCB Playoff Qualification Scenarios: One Win Away from Locking It In

Category	Details
Team Position	1st Place Matches Played: 11 Points: 16 NRR: +0.482
Qualification Scenario	RCB are virtually through to the playoffs. A single win from their remaining three matches will confirm qualification. Two wins will likely ensure a top-two finish and a spot in Qualifier 1. However, with a steady but not dominant NRR, a big loss in any match could affect their final standing in a multi-team tie.
Probability of Qualification	95%
Remaining Fixtures	1. vs LSG (Away) 2. vs SRH (Home) 3. vs KKR (Home)

PBKS Playoff Qualification Scenarios: One Win from the Door, Two from Locking It

Category	Details
Team Position	2nd Place Matches Played: 11 Points: 15 NRR: +0.376
Qualification Scenario	Punjab Kings need just one more win from their final three matches to reach 17 points — a tally that usually ensures a playoff spot. Two wins would seal it and possibly push them into the top two. However, with key clashes coming up against MI and DC, the road isn’t easy. A 1–2 result could leave them vulnerable to net run rate battles if DC, KKR, or even LSG surge late.
Probability of Qualification	85%
Remaining Fixtures	1. vs DC (Home) 2. vs MI (Home) 3. vs RR (Away)

MI Playoff Qualification Scenarios: Strong NRR Keeps Mumbai in Command

Category	Details
Team Position	3rd Place Matches Played: 11 Points: 14 NRR: +1.274
Qualification Scenario	Mumbai Indians are well-positioned thanks to their outstanding Net Run Rate. One more win will take them to 16 points, which is usually enough to qualify. Two wins (18 points) should guarantee a top-two finish and a place in Qualifier 1. However, they face three fellow playoff contenders — GT, PBKS, and DC — making the run-in a potential minefield. A three-game losing streak could put them at risk if other teams gain momentum.
Probability of Qualification	90%
Remaining Fixtures	1. vs GT (Home) 2. vs PBKS (Away) 3. vs DC (Home)

GT Playoff Qualification Scenarios: Four Matches, Flexible Route to the Top 2

Category	Details
Team Position	4th Place Matches Played: 10 Points: 14 NRR: +0.867
Qualification Scenario	Gujarat Titans are in a strong position with four matches left — more than any other team. Two wins will take them to 18 points, almost certainly confirming qualification. Three wins should guarantee a top-two finish. Clashes against MI and DC could shape their path, especially if they lose momentum. Their strong NRR gives them a critical edge in case of a tie on points.
Probability of Qualification	85%
Remaining Fixtures	1. vs MI (Away) 2. vs DC (Away) 3. vs LSG (Home) 4. vs CSK (Home)

DC Playoff Qualification Scenarios: Must-Win Games Ahead in Race to 17

Category	Details
Team Position	5th Place Matches Played: 11 Points: 13 NRR: +0.362
Qualification Scenario	Delhi Capitals are in a tense playoff race. They must win at least two of their final three matches to reach 17 points — a total that gives them a decent chance of qualifying. With matches remaining against strong contenders like GT and MI, those clashes become virtual knockouts. A one-win finish (15 points) would leave them at the mercy of NRR calculations and other results.
Probability of Qualification	50%
Remaining Fixtures	1. vs PBKS (Away) 2. vs GT (Home) 3. vs MI (Away)

KKR Playoff Qualification Scenarios: Three-Match Sprint with No Room for Error

Category	Details
Team Position	6th Place Matches Played: 11 Points: 11 NRR: +0.249
Qualification Scenario	Kolkata Knight Riders are on thin ice. They must win at least two of their remaining three games to reach 15 points and stay in contention, but even that may not be enough without help from other results. A perfect finish (17 points) gives them a real shot at qualification, though they face tough opponents, including RCB away. A single loss could prove fatal if DC or LSG win big. Their Net Run Rate is decent, better than LSG’s but behind DC.
Probability of Qualification	25%
Remaining Fixtures	1. vs CSK (Home) 2. vs SRH (Away) 3. vs RCB (Away)

LSG Playoff Qualification Scenarios: Must-Win Run with Slim Chances

Category	Details
Team Position	7th Place Matches Played: 11 Points: 10 NRR: -0.469
Qualification Scenario	Lucknow Super Giants face an uphill battle. They must win all three remaining matches to reach 16 points and stay alive in the playoff race. Their low Net Run Rate means they also need a big win or a series of losses from teams like DC and KKR. Any loss at this stage will likely end their campaign. Key wins against RCB and GT are crucial, as they directly impact their rivals’ qualification chances.
Probability of Qualification	10%
Remaining Fixtures	1. vs RCB (Home) 2. vs GT (Away) 3. vs SRH (Home)

SRH Playoff Qualification Scenarios: Spoilers in a Disappointing Season

Category	Details
Team Position	8th Place Matches Played: 11 Points: 7 NRR: -1.192
Status	Eliminated
Qualification Scenario	Even if Sunrisers Hyderabad win all their remaining matches, they can only reach 13 points, which is insufficient for playoff qualification. Their role now is to spoil the playoff chances of other teams like KKR, RCB, and LSG. Expect them to test bench strength and finish the season on a positive note.
Remaining Fixtures	1. vs KKR (Home) 2. vs RCB (Away) 3. vs LSG (Away)

RR Playoff Qualification Scenarios: Officially Out of the Race

Category	Details
Team Position	8th Place Matches Played: 11 Points: 7 NRR: -1.192
Status	Eliminated
Qualification Scenario	Even if Sunrisers Hyderabad win all their remaining matches, they can only reach 13 points, which is insufficient for playoff qualification. Their role now is to spoil the playoff chances of other teams like KKR, RCB, and LSG. Expect them to test bench strength and finish the season on a positive note.
Remaining Fixtures	1. vs KKR (Home) 2. vs RCB (Away) 3. vs LSG (Away)

CSK Playoff Qualification Scenarios: Bottom-Two Finish Confirmed

Category	Details
Team Position	10th Place Matches Played: 11 Points: 4 NRR: -1.117
Status	Eliminated
Qualification Scenario	Chennai Super Kings are officially out of the playoffs and will finish in the bottom two. Their season has been marred by poor form and a negative Net Run Rate. The remaining matches are key in determining if they can upset playoff hopefuls like KKR or GT.
Remaining Fixtures	1. vs KKR (Away) 2. vs RR (Away) 3. vs GT (Away)